Uganda's annual inflation rate increased to 3.2 percent in May from 3 percent in April, primarily due to rising fuel and transport costs associated with higher global oil prices. This trend has raised concerns at the Bank of Uganda regarding external inflation pressures, while food prices have remained relatively stable. The Uganda Bureau of Statistics reported a monthly consumer price rise of 0.7 percent.

In April, Uganda's private sector showed increased activity, with the headline purchasing managers' index rising to 55, its highest in five months, according to the Bank of Uganda's business tendency survey. Financial services experienced their strongest growth ever, indicating strong confidence in the sector, despite ongoing fuel-driven cost pressures. However, the survey also suggested that the underlying momentum may be losing some of its earlier strength.

Uganda's electricity regulator has announced that power tariffs will remain largely unchanged for the second quarter of 2026, as a strengthening shilling has balanced out a slight increase in global fuel prices. The Electricity Regulatory Authority noted that the approved end-user tariffs for April to June reflect changes in macroeconomic factors, but ultimately maintain stable pricing. The Ugandan shilling appreciated against the US dollar, reducing pressure on costs associated with dollar-denominated electricity generation.

Uganda's inflation increased to 3 percent in April, up from 2.8 percent in March, primarily due to rising energy and transport costs, according to data from the Uganda Bureau of Statistics. Monthly prices rose by 0.6 percent, marking the fastest increase since February 2025, while food and core components showed contained price pressures.

The Central Bank of Tanzania has projected a GDP growth of 6.3% for 2026 and 6.6% for 2027, driven by public and private investments as well as exports. According to its latest Monetary Policy Statement for 2026/27, key sectors contributing to this growth include agriculture, mining, tourism, and construction. Inflation is expected to rise but will remain within the target range of 3-5%.

According to the IMF's latest Regional Economic Outlook, Uganda is projected to be one of the fastest-growing economies globally over the next two years, despite a challenging environment for sub-Saharan Africa due to external shocks. The report highlights that while the region faces higher energy costs and tighter financial conditions, Uganda's growth is expected to accelerate significantly, driven by its oil sector.